The models don't mean a thing if the inputs are crap. Until they have a defined center, they can't accurately model w here it will go.
The Latest Forecast for Invest 93L – Meteorologist Dave Nussbaum's Weather Page: "The forecast models are not in agreement as to where this system may track. They are still spread from Central Texas to the Florida Panhandle. The latest GFS model shows it headed toward Louisiana, but it also had it going to Mobile, AL and Florida – you can see the uncertainty! The Euro has it going toward South Texas and North Mexico.
Once there is a closed circulation, then the models will have a better idea on where it may track. Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate this system on Monday. They will also be able to get some great data about the atmosphere around the low and that data goes into the models too.
Some impacts for Louisiana we can plan for, no matter where it tracks, would be heavy rain and very high tides this week."
'via Blog this'